Really
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Me: Frank Lynch Home These are my mundane daily ramblings. Email: |
How easy is it to check this platitude? (Someone with a professional account like Lexis-Nexis can do this better than me...) This morning, David Brooks writes: "Of all the words written upon the death of Ronald Reagan, none have recurred more frequently than 'optimist.' Reagan had a sunny, hopeful disposition, we've been reminded again and again." Now, this is not a very sophisticated thing to test, if you have access to the right tools. All I have is Google News, and I did an advanced search, starting with June 5, looking for articles with the words Reagan and optimist, and came up with 395 hits. Reagan and optimism yields 3,040. All three terms occur in 204, so there are 3,221 that have Reagan and either optimist or optimism (3,040 + 395 - 204). According to Google anyway. But Google News has 8,930 hits for articles that contain Reagan and war. Let's work out some other combinations, and I'll make a list here. Articles dated June 5 -8 containing "Reagan" and...
Google news is a fairly crude tool to use (and there's no reason why it would turn up more news articles when searching for both the terms Reagan and President than when just searching for Reagan). Some of these figures I provided just for context: optimism only seems to come up in about a ninth of the articles, though obviously all the articles aren't profiles. But clearly Brooks needs to be checked, since "war" comes up in almost three times as many articles as "optimist OR optimism." And conservative has an edge here, too. Anyone have access to a good database? This exercise isn't meant out of any disrespect for Reagan, so
much as disrespect for the fawning which does disservice to his
memory. Fawning like this is bound to provoke rabid disagreement,
which would be disrespectful.
The relevance of the Geneva Convention is not up to the US, according to some... This article from 2002 states:
This matters because of the post immediately below...
In keeping with our history of treaties with Native Americans, Administration lawyers issued an opinion that international treaties on torture are not binding for the US. The rationalization is that the President's Constitutional duties as commander in chief trump any treaty's requirements, and therefore he is not bound by them. (This is closely related to the question "Can God make a rock so large that he himself cannot lift it?" In the same way that God's doing so would make the rock God, the president cannot sign a treaty which would limit his powers as president.)
The solution, of course, seems straightforward: don't sign the treaties. And announce in advance that you're backing out of treaties you've already signed. Uh oh, a problem: as John McCain has pointed out, we care about treaties because they protect our soldiers, too. It's disgusting: we sign treaties, and we should uphold them. There is no world so new, so changed since September 11 that we can be willy-nilly about these things. Treaties are signed after deliberation, specifically when heads are cool, so that when stress obscures our thinking, there is guidance. Does anyone in the Administration presume to tell us that Constitutional responsibilities were not thought about when we signed the treaty? (It also, by the way, helps explain the disagreement we had last year with several European nations over war crime trials. The argument happened after the Administration legal memo was circulated, and we could well have been committing war crimes at the time. And you thought our only unilateralism was in invading Iraq?) Let's put some additional context here. In September, 2002, the US issued its National Security Strategy. (You can get a copy here, but it requires a pdf reader such as Adobe Acrobat.) In its pages is an outline that essentially boils down to "you will be our partner or you will fear us." That's an oversimplification, but the intent is to build a military so strong that no country would ever even imagine attacking us; we would spend enough on our military that we would never even have to bother defending ourselves, because we would be so intimidating. (More of my opinions on this document are here.) Isn't it comforting to have such a combination? A country that could be militarily dominant, and feels it can discard treaties at will? UPDATE: (9:18 AM) Josh Marshall has a post from yesterday highlighting a different aspect of this story. He points out that an article in yesterday's Wall Street Journal says... To protect subordinates should they be charged with torture, the memo advised that Mr. Bush issue a "presidential directive or other writing" that could serve as evidence, since authority to set aside the laws is "inherent in the president." Of course, Nixon got in trouble for just this sort of
attitude, and it's unlikely that the Supreme Court would allow
the President to become such a totalitarian. But Lincoln
suspended habeas corpus during the Civil War, and the
Supreme Court was powerless to stop him. (We always like to point
out how proud the Republican Party is to remind us that they are
"the party of Lincoln.") Getting shivers?
I can't say too many nice things about Ronald Reagan. I have a lot of misgivings about those years, and have trouble saying positive things about him at all, so I won't be saying too many nice things. Honest. But I think one personality trait which separates him from so many other Presidents was his desire for a simpler world and a simpler understanding of it. Many times that's a positive — a Thoreau-like retreat that cuts through the unnecessary to boil an issue down to its essence. You could see that in the recourse he often took in religion and faith; you could see it in his characterization of the Soviet Union as an evil empire. He represented a return to what he considered fundamental American values, and when he went off to chop wood it was as if he were emulating Lincoln. He was a stark contrast to so many other presidents of the last 40 years.
When I hear conservatives complain in response to nuanced arguments, I can't help but think that it's a longing to return to the Reagan years, which were often played out as being so much simpler. Yet there were times when I felt Reagan took his desires for parsimony too far. And when he did so, it was almost as an anti-intellectual cudgel. For example, in May of 1982 Reagan gave a speech where he argued against focusing on seasonally-adjusted employment figures. Reagan said:
When Reagan was arguing that we may not "live in a seasonally adjusted world," and recommended refocusing on figures that had no seasonal adjustments, he was basically suggesting we look at a simpler figure, without nuance. Yet in this case the nuance of seasonal adjustments actually helps us understand trends better. Without seasonally adjusting, the impact of economic trends are obscured by factors such as changes in the weather. There is less demand for snow shovels in May than in January, and that's been seen year after year; there's been greater demand for t-shirts in May. To not weigh the effects if season would be silly. Yet that's what Reagan proposed. Often, simplicity is a good goal. But I think Reagan has hurt
us somewhat in this respect because he's decreased our patience
with complexity. You can hear it when two alternative choices are
proposed which hide a myriad set of choices which could
considered; and you can hear it when people try to force a simple
reconciliation of two facts which might be only superficially
conflicting.
While America seems caught in nostalgia for an era of brown suits and jelly beans, it's nice to read that all is not a return to Puritanism. The New York Times is reporting that legislative responses to indecency, originally fueled by Janet Jackson's Super Bowl performance, are losing their momentum.
The unfortunate thing is that just by making noise, they get
support from their constituents. An opponent who asks for action
risks getting it.
The vast right wing conspiracy can't defend itself? From Newsweek's interview with documentary maker Harry Thomason on his film The Hunting of the President: We run a large list of names at the end of the most recent version of the film. There were 137 people on the right who, to a person—with the exception of Jerry Falwell—refused to talk to us. It was really hard to get people on the right to talk. And a lot of news people didn't want to talk to us. That speaks volumes, doesn't it? They knew what they were
doing, and tried to bring down a Presidency. They sucked the air
out of a progressive administration in an effort to avoid reforms
and programs they disagreed with. Some times elections aren't
enough for democracy, I guess.
The shirt... I've been asked about the
shirt below, and I can tell you its full
headline is "Conceived in Liberty," coming from the Gettysburg
Address. (The shirt's mine.) They seem to have been discontinued,
but some sites claim they have limited quantities
available.
Reagan Suck-Up Watch. Back in 1993,
when Andrew Sullivan
was its editor, the "liberal" New
Republic monitored media coverage of the newly inaugurated
President Clinton. When a news item was seen (this was back in
the days of print, no web) which seemed unusually high in its
praise or contemplative of Clinton qualities mortals might not
see, it was featured in a special section called "Clinton Suck-Up
Watch." Remember this? It was kind of like a precursor to all
those awards Sullivan regularly nominates journalists for now. I
bring this up because we can see a lot of coverage of
Reagan now which is obviously over the top. For instance, the BBC
has an article showing the human side of reporting and how one of
its reporters heard
the news about Reagan's death. We care about this? Go have
your special experience, but don't feel like you need to write
about it: Reagan is the story, not you.
During this period of national
mourning over Reagan's death, one would do well to remember
this line of Samuel
Johnson's: "In lapidary inscriptions a man is not upon oath."
Our press should have higher standards, and will, but remember
that while they may not be inclined to lie, you have to figure
that there are many blind eyes at a time like this. Don't base
your opinion of his legacy on what you read this week, is all I'm
saying.
Call me crazy, but every once in a while it makes sense to go beyond the flood of books which are critical of Bush, and into genuine history books. I just took a look at my stack of books to be read (having now finished Richard Clarke's Against All Enemies, Joe Conason's Big Lies, Alterman & Green's The Book on Bush, and Woodward's Plan of Attack — whew!) and here's what I see I've bought, waiting to be read:
...so it looks like I'm pretty grounded in the 18th century this summer. But this is not to suggest for a single blink of a moment that relevance is limited. Relevance screams out. Many are uncomfortable about the extent to which religion seems to play a role in George Bush's presidency; others, comfortable that he shares their faith, say there's no need to worry. Yet in McDougall's book we read this passage about the English civil war (page 72): The Parliamentary cause triumphed, but far from upholding Common Law and the rights of Englishmen, the victorious general Oliver Cromwell trod them underfoot in the name of natural law as ordained by a Puritan God. A king captured and executed for treason; Parliament purged of all but Erastian Presbyterians; freedom of conscience extinguished for all but a handful of acceptable sects; heresy and adultery made capital crimes; Scotland and Ireland brutally crushed; England divided into eleven military governments: such were the fruits of millenarian revolution. (Emphasis mine.) It's in a passage like this that we're reminded why we put up barriers between Church and State and demanded reasons beyond faith for our laws. Those who would reject religious arguments that the war in
Iraq was not a just war are welcome to, so long as they base
their decisions on reason, and this includes decisions in other
matters such as abortion. One cannot turn to faith for support in
one area while rejecting it in another; we do not shape God as we
choose.
"People take pictures of each other, to prove that they really existed." At least, that's how the Kinks sang it back on The Village Green Preservation Society (a desert island album if there ever was one). Today I was part of a gathering of photographers who calmly protested a proposed ban of photography in the subways.
I thought there were about a hundred people (maybe I'm wrong) going down the Lexington Avenue line, crosstown on the L, and uptown on the A/C/E. No real fracases or confrontation, just a bunch of good-hearted people enjoying the benefits of living in a free society. So far as I can tell there were no terrorists among us, and any who had been planning to map out the vulnerable parts of the subways were probably intimidated by all the cameras. (And by the way, no one started singing "If I had a camera,
I'd shoot it in the morning...")
The long list of areas where I disagreed
with Ronald Reagan's policies and actions can be set aside
for a moment. Any good wishes from me might be superfluous
— his destination in the afterlife was set in less than the
blink of an eye — but I still wish him well on his latest
journey, and hope that he rests in peace. May God have mercy on
his soul.
We are a prime target for terrorists in NYC. And we're not getting enough attention. Says the Mayor: "This is a time for Tom Ridge to stand up and say, 'Enough of this craziness,' " the mayor said. "He has got to be out there screaming. If we are going to protect this country, we've got to send the money where the threat is, and I don't think there's any question that the No. 1 targets for anybody overseas would be New York and, arguably, Washington." Why isn't there enough money? Can you say "Iraq"?
The text of the proposal to ban subway photography is now online. (Seen via The Bigger Apple.) This is a great example of why public comment requirements for laws are a great idea (discussed in the post immediately below this one), even when there are downsides. The text for the proposed ban of subway photography reads: No photograph, film or video recording shall be made or taken on or in any conveyance or facility by any person, except members of the press holding valid press identification cards issued by the New York City Police Department or by others duly authorized in writing to engage in such activity by the authority. Any problems?
Yeah, I will fill out the comment form at the MTA's web site.
The environmental costs of bureaucratic
sloppiness on the part of New York State. Yesterday, a judge
threw out some pending environmental regulations which would have
forced power companies to clean up some of their old plants
— some are over 50 years old, and cited as major sources of
pollution. The reason? Because NY State didn't publish the
regulations properly, to allow a
sufficient public comment period. Public comment on laws is
incredibly important; I'm not angry at the judge, but I'm
really angry at the state, for screwing up on a basic
procedural task. The impact? "It will mean that more people will
die, more people will get sick and more children will have asthma
attacks because the air will be dirtier for longer," according to
the director of environmental health for the American Lung
Association of New York State. Stupid stupid stupid. (If you
can't do a government job correctly, what job can you do
correctly?)
I'm not the first to shriek at this, but you'll have to excuse my late discovery: I don't get paid to read books like Bob Woodward's, and I can learn about things more slowly as a result. Remember the recent press conference where Bush said he couldn't come up with a mistake he'd made since 9/11? A lot of people, myself included, said this showed an amazing lack on his part. Well, I'm finishing Woodward's book today, and in the epilogue, page 420, I read this (Woodward is retelling a December 2003 interview he had with Bush):
Yeah, this is shocking, and it's so consistent with
someone who doesn't know humility, whose imagination is so
limited that it doesn't entertain the possibility of him making
mistakes. It's also a bit surprising that this wasn't brought up
when Woodward was on CBS 60 Minutes back in April. I think
this is more telling than items like his failure to consult with
Colin Powell or his dad. (Actually, I now see that the 60 Minutes
program was about six weeks ago, April 18. I think I've been
timely in reading this...)
Lovely! (Faking the sources.) How bad was the WMD intelligence? How slanted was the interpretation? Try this, from a Senate report: The report also calls attention to what one official called "slipshod work" and "factual errors" by C.I.A. analysts and operations officials, including cases in which single sources of intelligence were identified as multiple sources, and in which at least one warning that identified a source of intelligence as a fabricator was ignored. The information provided by the fabricator that Iraq possessed mobile biological laboratories found its way into Secretary of State Colin L. Powell's presentation in February 2003 to the United Nations Security Council making the administration's case for war. (Emphasis mine.) I have three independently corroborated opinions that this is
not how it should be: they come from me, myself, and I.
A new virus to watch out for, one that
could be taking your credit card and online banking data. Details
are
here. If you have it, they're saying close your accounts.
There's no room to crow about the
248,000 jobs added in May. Why? The
unemployment rate remained at 5.6%. This is not growth.
Any Catholics who will be considering John Kerry's position on abortion and how it might conflict with their religious beliefs should take note of Bush's visit with the Pope today. Yes, the Pope praised Bush for his high valuation of life. But lest you forget...
No, Bush isn't Catholic, but Catholic voters should be careful
about how flexibly they listen to the Pope.
At least 300,000 people will die of
starvation in the Sudan, according to USAid head Andrew
Natsios. And that's if we can get them help: without
help, "it could be a million." This is just horrible.
I had no idea... I was just watching a
DVD of Beethoven's 7th Symphony (Berlin Philharmonic, conducted
by Claudio Abbado), and in the 2nd movement, during a pizzicato
section, one of the bassists is playing a five string
bass. You learn something new everyday.
I'm sure there will be many theories as to why Tenet resigned (was fired?), but over at Newsweek the speculation basically runs that Tenet decided to cut bait before some anticipated, critical reports will be released: The CIA had at first bitterly challenged some of the findings in the still-secret Senate report on Iraqi WMD and insisted that the committee hadn't heard the full story. But in recent days, sources tell NEWSWEEK, agency officials told congressional investigators that they were resigned to the report's findings and would no longer contest them. Tenet who according to Bob Woodward's recent book, "Plan of Attack," once called the agency's case for Saddam's WMD a "slam dunk" knew that his leadership of the CIA was about to be strongly criticized. "He didn't want to go through this," said one congressional source familiar with the panel's findings. "There was nowhere for [agency officials] to go and [Tenet] was in charge of the whole mess." Elsewhere? The LA Times sees upsides and downsides:
One of the themes being pursued over at Fox is that the resignation of Tenet is not enough to absolve the administration, in the eyes of its opponents:
More to be written still, I'm sure.
Of COURSE Tenet was fired. It doesn't
take a magnifying glass to uncover a more reasonable hypothesis
than "personal reasons." But because Bush didn't take any credit
(he could have said something like "I decided we needed
fresh blood," or something like that), and said it was for
personal reasons, Bush is still liable to charges that he's a bad
president. Think about it: in this nudge nudge wink wink world,
the only thing that pushed Tenet out the door was wanting to
spend more time with his family. Maybe Bush actually
dodged a bullet by not impugning Tenet; maybe there's a deal that
Tenet won't write a book before November. Merely speculation on
my part.
Just how liberal is the media? Over at
Ishbadiddle,
Ennis has another example of an astonishing quote which is
not getting coverage... And if the media were liberal, it
would be getting a lot of play. Go read...
LOTS of reasons to hold my tongue
about George Tenet's resignation — chief among them that my
opinion shouldn't matter much, given that I only know what I read
from the same sources you read — but I will say
this: the "for personal reasons" is a nice touch. That
means it can't be talked about as due to any
managerial/presidential qualities of the administration. Had it
not been for unknown personal reasons, Tenet would still be
there, and all the complaints about intelligence handling and
falling for "slam dunk" guarantees are still pertinent.
And they set him free? Perhaps there's something wrong with how the FBI ranks its terrorist suspects, but Nabil al-Marabh was number 27 on the list. And the prosecution thought it made more sense to deport him to Syria (where it was thought he couldn't do harm) than prosecute him and be forced to reveal sensitive intelligence in the process. It's very curious...
We need really good legal scholars to comment on this, not
just people like Senator Charles Schumer. Our legal system
demands visibility. I do hope we've got a thousand tails on this
guy, over in Syria...
Just covering his bases, President
Bush has met with an attorney to obtain
private legal counsel in the Valerie Plame case.
Where is Cheney's fury? It's interesting how some people want to learn from the past, while others don't. In one of John Barth's novels (I think it was Tidewater Tales), his narrator describes watching a terrarium in Germany, where a boa constrictor lives with a few chickens. When the snake gets hungry and picks out his prey, all the hens are aflutter with panic, going berserk. Yet, once the constrictor has fully taken the prey in his body, and the bird is no longer visible to the others, the hens are all calm as can be. Like nothing happened, and nothing will. I mention this because Colin Powell is asking the CIA what went wrong with the intelligence on Iraqi WMDs. Dick Cheney is not.
Post mortems are not the Administration's strengths. (You'll recall how much resistance they showed to setting up commissions to learn from 9/11 mistakes and WMD intelligence mistakes; it's also said that Bush won't ever review a decision that's been made; a third example is how Bush couldn't come up with a mistake since 9/11 in a recent press conference. They just don't like to learn.) The creepy thing here is that an incurious attitude is uncomfortably reminiscent of something which Ahmed Chalabi said in February: "As far as we're concerned we've been entirely successful. That tyrant Saddam is gone and the Americans are in Baghdad. What was said before is not important. The Bush administration is looking for a scapegoat. We're ready to fall on our swords if he wants." (Emphasis mine.) Now, Chalabi was probably closer to the truth than Cheney ever
was... When Chalabi says something like that, it's akin to "Pay
no attention to that man behind the curtain." But Powell and
Cheney should be closer to Dorothy and her traveling companions,
they should be furious that we've been hoodwinked. Where is
Cheney's fury?
The danger of obessions. Samuel Johnson once said, "I wish there were some cure, like the lover's leap, for all heads of which some single idea has obtained an unreasonable and irregular possession." The New York Times is reporting that Ahmed Chalabi, friend to the neocon hawks, told Iran that the US had broken its codes, "betraying one of Washington's most valuable sources of information about Iran, according to United States intelligence officials."
Three weeks ago, of course, is before Chalabi's house was raided, and it provides context to that raid. Now, I don't think for a moment that anyone in the White House or the Pentagon made a conscious decision to betray our country — something which might have happened when covert CIA operator Valerie Plame was outed for the purposes of political leverage. But it does indicate that the Bush administration was overly interested in overthrowing Saddam Hussein, to the point of blessing Chalabi. He was a favorite for so long, even to the point of sitting behind the First Lady at Bush's 2004 State of the Union Address. It's not as if there weren't suspicions about Chalabi prior to the embrace. Back in the 1980s he was considered disreputable: [Jordan] is where Chalabi built and lost a banking empire in the 1980s, before he was forced to flee and convicted in absentia of fraud and embezzlement. [...] A NEWSWEEK investigation, with which Chalabi cooperated, shows that his own and his family's financial institutions were shut down by authorities in Switzerland, Lebanon and Jordan because of questionable practices and unsecured loans. The cost to investors and depositors was tens of millions of dollars. Why were we so obsessed that we got in bed with this guy?
Books will be written, I'm sure.
It boggles the mind... I walked
through Green-Wood
Cemetery today, and learned that there are almost 600,000
people buried there. How to put that in perspective? Well, if
they were all alive, it would be among the top 20
cities in the country in terms of population. There are more
people buried in Green-Wood than living in the city of Boston
(the city itself, not including outlying suburbs).
A walk down memory lane. Or, a cake walk maybe? From Ken Adelman, February 2002: I believe demolishing Hussein's military power and liberating Iraq would be a cakewalk. Let me give simple, responsible reasons: (1) It was a cakewalk last time; (2) they've become much weaker; (3) we've become much stronger; and (4) now we're playing for keeps. Like a lot of hawks, though,
Ken Adelman forgot that the process only began with
the invasion. There's no discussion in Adelman's op-ed
piece about the future. Didn't anyone remember what we had to do
in Europe after World War II? How long will it be before the
official record of failure to plan for the post war is made
public?
What a headline! The UK's Independent, on today's events in the formation of the new Iraq government: "The day the stooges bit back."
Always good to get a perspective from outside the US...
John McCain pretty much hands Inhofe's head to him. Remember the Abu Ghraib hearings, where Inhofe talked sarcastically about the "do gooders," and McCain, the former POW, walked out? McCain responds over at Opinion Journal, the online branch of the Wall Street Journal...
McCain knows what he talks about. Inhofe
doesn't.
The kind of fame you can do without. Remember the rumors that Kerry had had an affair with an intern? The woman's name is Alexandra Polier, and she's written an article about how she was smeared. Some of this is really disgusting.
There's a lot here to get creeped out by. Not just the fervor,
but what the fervor was for, a potentially lurid tale which might
bring a candidate down.
In contrast to Bush's negative campaigning (see post below), the Kerry campaign is launching a new ad they call "Optimism." You can view it through these links:
I think it's quite good. It addresses some of the positive
notes I talked about here.
In other words, he's a chicken. The White House strongly opposed a reimportation bill that passed the House last year. But Snowe said she didn't believe the president would veto a measure that has picked up broad support. "It has the dynamic and the momentum to pass this year," Snowe said. "It's the one area of social policy we can really get done." Word has it there may be
enough votes in the Senate to allow reimportation of drugs
from Canada, if it can come up for a vote.
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